Odds Of Flopping A Set

The question is - what are the odds of flopping a set? When you hold a pocket pair, the odds of flopping a set are 7.5-1, or roughly 12%. It's important to know the odds, as many people will try to 'set mine' when playing Texas Hold'em. This means that you are calling pre-flop bets with your pocket pair, hoping to hit a.

1. In fact, the math suggests that somebody will flop a higher set than you in a full ring cash game once every 7.8k hands. It is even more rare in a 6max game, where it will only happen once every 12.6k hands. This is why set over set is commonly referred to as a 'cooler'.
2. The odds of two players flopping a set are around 1% so it’s extremely unlikely. In other words you probably shouldn’t be folding too many sets when you are just starting out. You can re-asses if the board is particularly dangerous (meaning flush, straight or full house possibilities) but in general don’t worry about it too much.

Chances of hitting, flopping and holding certain hands

These odds are a must know if you want to advance your game to a high level. For exact odds you can check out our poker hand odds calculator. We rounded the number to the nearest decimal for you.

You should know what beats what in poker before trying to apply these odds or playing like you see poker on tv and in commercials.

Why Poker Odds Matter

Why Odds Matter To any good Texas Holdem players these odds come naturally. They may not know the exact percentage but they instinctively know their odds. Referencing this table is a great way to understand your percentages if you are a new player or if you want to calculate your pot odds.

We developed what we believe are the best formulas for calculating pot odds that you will find on the internet. It is the same way the pros calculate their pot odds and we also simplified it for those of you who are not that good at math. Check out the Pot Odds section.

Here are some important probabilities in Omaha that returns in different situations. Knowledge about probabilities will help you to better evaluate situations in poker. You will , for example, know when you should call and when you shouldn't, and, vice versa, know when to fold and when the odds are in your favor.

Starting hands

There are many starting hands in Omaha (16.432 if not all suit combinations are counted), which makes it difficult to get an overview. Table 2 will hopefully increase that overview a bit.

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Exemple of a double suited hand: Q♥ A♥ 2♦ K♦
Exemple of a rainbow hand: Q♥ A♣ 2♠ K♦
The best Omaha hands are less bigger favorites against an average hand compared to Texas Hold'em.
In Texas Hold'em, common knowledge is that A-A is very big favorite against all other hands. In Omaha, A-A as a part of a hand is far from that strong. In general, an A-A-x-x hand versus a random four-card hand is a 70-30 favorite in average (if all the starting hands that are normally folded are excluded, the A-A-x-x hands will be even less favorites).

Made hands versus draws

Odds Of Flopping A Set In Hold'em

A typical feature in an Omaha Hi game is a set against a hand with several drawing possibilities. The made hand will not be a very big favorite (sometimes it is an underdog), so the recommended strategy is to play fast and bet/raise the pot in these situations.

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Factors that can affect the odds are for example blocking cards.

Odds Of Flopping A Set With A Pocket Pair

Flush draws versus straight draws

In Omaha, hands with flush draws are often more likely to win than straight draws.

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Texas Hold'em Set

Since that many cards are in action, there are often combined possibilities, which makes it hard to give general percentages. A hand with a flush draw has mostly something else, like a pair or a straight draw as well.

Odds Of Flopping A Set In Plo

Related article:Omaha strategy